Program
| Tuesday, 1 April 2008 |
| 18:30 |
/ |
Welcome cocktail reception |
| Wednesday, 2 April 2008 |
| 08:00 |
/ |
Breakfast and registration |
| 08:50 |
/ |
Welcome remarks |
| 09:00 |
/ |
Opening keynote address
Kenichi Kawasaki, Chief Economist (Japan), LEHMAN BROTHERS
|
| 09:30 |
/ |
Keynote panel: Japan's place in the global private equity markets
Private equity in Japan has developed in recent years with growth in deal volume and practitioners. Established domestic managers have continued to be active in Japan, with new entrants increasingly present. A growing number of foreign managers are establishing a Japan footprint on the appeal of attractive fundamentals, untapped opportunities or the need for diversification. At the same time, challenges remain. We have witnessed deals fall through for numerous reasons: Opposition on the basis of valuation, clashing corporate cultures, poison pill tactics, and difficulties in obtaining financing. This panel brings together global and domestic industry leaders to discuss key trends for 2008 and how these affect the Japanese private equity landscape going forward.
- What are the key drivers and barriers impacting transaction pace and scale in Japan?
- How is the global credit crisis affecting the buyout market?
- How are foreign funds affecting the private equity landscape?
- How are changing attitudes of shareholders, management, regulators and vendors affecting the PE market?
- Are there unique factors in Japan that make buyouts more challenging than other markets?
Moderator
Philip Bilden, Managing Director, HARBOURVEST PARTNERS ASIA
Panelists
Richard L. Folsom, Representative Partner, ADVANTAGE PARTNERS, LLP
Kei Mizukami, Managing Director, CVC ASIA PACIFIC JAPAN
Masa Yoshizawa, Representative Director and Partner, THE LONGREACH GROUP, INC.
Tatsuo Kawasaki, Partner, UNISON CAPITAL, INC.
Daisuke Saji, President, VESTAR JAPAN ADVISERS
|
| 10:45 |
/ |
Coffee / tea break |
| 11:15 |
/ |
Buyouts, carve-outs and spinoffs
Big buyout players are treading softly in the aftermath of the Japanese
High Court's decision on Steel Partners / Bull-Dog Sauce. Deal volumes
have dropped in the past six months but smart operators have used the
time to reposition themselves, and there are signs that the market is
listening. New entrants to Japan are adopting strategies closely aligned
with the country's traditional consensus-driven dealmaking style, but will
this tactic pay off? Panelists consider:
- Whether building Kieretsu of their own is likely to be effective and
acceptable to their international investors.
- How they can persuade Japanese conglomerates to hive off non-core assets.
- Whether there's a role for them in the integration process of large
mergers—which have historically not been successful in Japan.
- How they can avoid competing in auctions for the same assets,
thereby making exits at reasonable multiples harder to achieve in a
manner acceptable to Japanese society.
Moderator
Ankur Sahu, Managing Director, Head of Principal Investment Area,
GOLDMAN SACHS JAPAN
Panelists
David Shen, Managing Director, OLYMPUS CAPITAL HOLDINGS ASIA
Tomoya Shiraishi, President, PERMIRA ADVISERS KK
Masato Marumo, Managing Director, THE CARLYLE GROUP
|
| 12:30 |
/ |
Luncheon Luncheon address
John Woodard, Managing Director, Asia, VESTAR JAPAN ADVISERS
|
| 14:00 |
/ |
Venture capital and early-stage growth
Many new technologies are developed within large corporations in Japan, meaning that spin outs from major corporations are more common than greenfield developments. The pace of change and the amount of competition internationally mean that biotech and pharma research isn't top priority in corporate Japan, but "The ‘76 Generation"—30-something engineers—are at the forefront of developing new Web 2.0 technologies, and niche hardware products are still being developed. At the same time, much of the focus of Japan’s VC fund managers remains in the early-stage growth sector, where proven technologies and business plans can be scaled up rapidly to create big exit multiples for successful teams. This panel of experts considers:
-
What are Japan's core technology strengths?
-
How can corporate Japan protect itself from competition from India, China and elsewhere?
-
Which sectors are attracting early-stage growth investment?
-
How crucial are these young but growing companies to reinvigorating Japan's corporate
landscape, and what is the optimal ownership structure within which to achieve this?
Moderator
Allen Miner, Chairman & CEO, SUNBRIDGE CORPORATION
Panelists
Ikkei Matsuda, President & CEO, HVC, INC.
Shinji Yasui, Japan Representative, INVESTOR GROWTH CAPITAL ASIA LTD
|
| 15:00 |
/ |
Plenary session: Turmoil in the world's credit markets, and what it means for private equity
Ryan Marshall, Partner, Head of Global Credit, KKR FINANCIAL HOLDINGS LLC
|
| 15:30 |
/ |
Coffee / tea break
|
| 16:00 |
/ |
Overseas expansion & globalisation
Increasing confidence in the Island Empire's global aspirations as well as a shrinking labour market and external pricing pressures are moving Japan away from being the last leading world economy to be built on a manufacturing base. Political pressures and enlightened risk management policies mean that although Japanese companies have big and growing interests in China, they're also diversifying their manufacturing bases across the region, with India, Vietnam and Indonesia being other major beneficiaries of Japanese overseas expansion. In light of these trends, panelists discuss:
- What types of products lend themselves to overseas production, and which are worth protecting from technology transfer?
- Which countries in the Asia-Pacific region offer a good fit to Japan companies, and what are the parameters involved?
- Whether manufacturing is the only sector ripe for expansion overseas.
- How can private equity assist Japanese corporations with their overseas aspirations?
- Is now a good time for Japanese companies to be looking to expand their footprint in the US?
Moderator
Hiroshi Nonomiya, Representative Director & Managing Director, RHJ INTERNATIONAL JAPAN, INC
Panelists
Jean Eric Salata, Founder & CEO, BARING PRIVATE EQUITY ASIA
Kei Okuno, Managing Director, CITIC CAPITAL PARTNERS JAPAN LTD
Kazunori Ozaki, Chairman & CEO, NIKKO ANTFACTORY K.K.
Praveen P. Kadle, Managing Director & CEO, TATA CAPITAL LTD
|
| 18:30 |
/ |
Evening cocktail reception
|
| 19:30 |
/ |
Dinner banquet
Dinner address
Kiyotaka Sasaki, Director, Strategy and Policy Coordination Division, SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE SURVEILLANCE COMMISSION (SESC), JAPAN
|
| Thursday, 3 April 2008 |
| 08:00 |
/ |
Breakfast and registration |
| 08:50 |
/ |
Welcome remarks |
| 09:00 |
/ |
Plenary address
Hiromichi Mizuno, Partner, COLLER CAPITAL
|
| 09:30 |
/ |
Delistings, TOBs and consolidations
The double whammy of J-Sox's imminent arrival and increasingly urgent succession planning challenges at many Japanese companies is expected to create more deals in the small-to-medium end of the market than it has seen for some time. Indeed, if the first half of FY08 is anything to go by, the effects are already being felt. The result is likely to be magnified by the winding back of the past few years' IPO fever, which saw Japan's big banks pocket plenty of fees by taking smaller companies to the market. The third strand in the story is consolidation plays in consumer service industries, which make more and more sense as Japan's population pyramid looks increasingly like standing on its head.
-
Is shrinking demand an unavoidable consequence of an ageing population and low birth rate?
-
What effect, if any, will Meti’s revised TOB guidelines have on acquirers of listed companies?
-
What are the pricing pressures at this smaller end of the market?
-
Given the resolutely slow pace of economic growth in Japan, how many of each of these transactions are likely to involve a significant degree of restructuring, and why is it still necessary in modern Japan?
Moderator
Tom Whitson , Partner, Head of Transaction Services, KPMG FAS CO LTD
Panelists
Warren D. Allderige, Managing Director, PACIFIC HARBOR GROUP
Michael A. Marshall, CEO & Founding Managing Partner, PINERIDGE PARTNERS
Masayuki Yasuoka, Managing Director, TPG CAPITAL
|
| 10:30 |
/ |
Coffee / tea break |
11:00 |
/ |
Real estate: An emerging opportunity?
Japanese real estate is no longer a "restructuring" or a "recovery" play. The fire-sale prices of ten or so years ago are only a memory, and perhaps heralded by the opening of the Mori Hills complex in Roppongi, domestic real estate prices in Tokyo turned from decline into growth in 2003. That growth has continued apace. And while some real estate companies' stock prices have declined by 30-70% from last year's peak, the question now being whispered around town is: "Has the real-estate market peaked out?" Panelists share their thoughts on this and consider:
- What impact did the new Financial Product Transaction Law have on the real estate market in Japan?
- What are the prospects for the Japanese real estate market given the ongoing subprime mortgage problems?
- Has the non-recourse loan market changed? In what terms?
- What will be the next evolution of the J-REIT market?
- Given the recent drop in real estate companies' stock prices, is it time to buy?
Moderator
Grant Kelley, Principal & CEO, COLONY CAPITAL ASIA PACIFIC
Panelists
Karsten A. Kallevig, Partner, GROVE INTERNATIONAL PARTNERS
Steven Lin, Executive Vice President & President of Asian Operations, CAPMARK FINANCIAL GROUP
Masahiro Tanikawa, Senior Vice President, Real Estate Investment Banking,LEHMAN BROTHERS JAPAN
|
| 12:00 |
/ |
Luncheon |
13:00 |
/ |
The LP panel
Mutterings in the market suggest that, at least in the LP world in Japan, the US sub-prime crunch is having an effect. While early rumours suggested that most Japanese institutions' exposure was through hedge funds, recent headlines involving one of private equity's poster children, amongst others, suggest otherwise. Against this background the Basel II compliance-driven trend out of hedge funds, which has traditionally favoured real estate, is now spilling over into private equity: Witness the ¥300bn target of the joint Nomura / Nochu fund-of-funds. Positive news on the domestic front is mirrored on the international side, with more funds being directed at Japanese PE. The only cloud on the horizon seems to be the changed tax status of foreign investments in Japan-domiciled funds.
- Will the Steel Partners judgment affect international LPs' views of Japan as an investment destination?
- Is there a funding overhang, and is it likely to affect acquisition prices and thence exit multiples going forward?
- Is there room for intermediaries to act as the nexus between the many corporate pension funds and PE fund managers?
- How can managers and investors work together to limit the impact of the new tax rules on distributions?
Moderator
Soichi Sam Takata, Senior Fund Manager, Private Equity Group, TOKIO MARINE ASSET MANAGEMENT
Panelists
Georges Sudarskis, Senior Investment Controller, Private Equity, ABU DHABI INVESTMENT AUTHORITY
Masahiko Niimi, Deputy Director, DEVELOPMENT BANK OF JAPAN
Hidekazu Ishida, Investment Officer, OSAKA GAS PENSION FUND
Mamoru Numata, Manager, International & Business Development Divison, SONY LIFE INSURANCE CO., LTD.
Mitsuru Koguchi, Group Head, Credit Investment, THE SUMITOMO TRUST & BANKING CO. LTD
|
| 14:30 |
/ |
Conference concludes |
|
|